UPM, a leading player in the pulp & paper industry, had an outstanding year in 2022. As the industry faces a challenging near future, UPM has diversified its business and remains in a strong position compared to competitors.
Industry Overview:
Raw material prices are up
Stocks are full
Cyclical business
Major pulp mills opening, including UPM Paso de los Toros and Metsä Group in Kemi
UPM - Key takeaways from Q1
Two transformative projects were completed: OL 3 (nuclear power plant) and a new pulp giant in Paso de los Toros, Uruguay.
Increased customer interest in biochemical products (biorefinery under construction in Leuna, Germany).
Full exit from Russia and closing paper production in Austria and Germany.
Outlook for 2023
Challenging outlook due to uncertainties in the European, Chinese, and global economy, Russia's war in Ukraine, lingering effects of the pandemic, energy prices, and regulations in Europe.
Strong trust in UPM's ability to manage margins well - exceptional management.
Is the stock still worth it to own?
The price action will not be anything spectacular during 2023. Stock is still wonderful to own, and the long-term outlook remains strong.
UPM offers good dividends, exceptional value, and quality, making it a top choice in Finland.
Update on profit warning (2 weeks after q1 results...)
https://twitter.com/KiiskiUnfolding/status/1657279859855327232?s=20